Today we're going to talk about Fallacies of Vacuity. An argument suffers from a fallacy of vacuity when the argument doesn't make any progress, doesn't go anywhere. There are two general ways this can happen. One way an argument could suffer from a fallacy of vacuity is when it begs the question. That is to say, when, in order to believe the premises of the argument, or to believe that the premises imply the conclusion, we already need to believe the conclusion. Without already believing the conclusion, we're not going to believe that it's a successful argument. That's begging the question. That's one way an argument could suffer from a fallacy of acuity. Another way an argument could suffer from a fallacy of acuity is when the conclusion doesn't say anything substantive. When a conclusion just says, for instance, well, either it's raining or it's not, something completely uninformative like that, something that doesn't provide you with any information that you wouldn't have known independently of the argument. Those are the 2 general ways in which an argument can suffer from fallacy of acuity. We'll first talk about begging the question. Let me start off by giving you a really simple example of begging the question. It's an example that's so obvious, that probably none of you would be guilty of this fallacy. Suppose you're in a strange city, and you're walking around, trying to find a particular street. And so you go up to a stranger in that city, a normal seeming stranger. And you ask them for the directions to this street that you're trying to find. And they say, oh, that street. that street is three blocks north of here. And now you think, well, the stranger said that that street is three blocks north of here. That street is three blocks north of here. Maybe you believe that because the stranger said it. And then from those two premises you conclude So the stranger told the truth. Now let's look at that argument. That argument has something puzzling about it. Premise 1, premise 1, the stranger said, the street is 3 blocks north. [SOUND] Premise (2) The street is 3 blocks north, [SOUND] where premise two is something you believe, because that's what the stranger told you. And from those two premises, you draw the conclusion, the stranger was telling the truth. Now, notice something funny about this argument? This argument actually is valid. There's no possible way for the two premises of the argument to be true, if the conclusion, number three, is false. If both premises are true then the conclusion has to be true. So the argument is valid. Furthermore, we can imagine a situation where the argument is sound, because both of the premises are true. Right? If you really are walking around a strange city, and the stranger tells you that the street you're looking for is 3 blocks north. And, in fact, that street is 3 blocks north. Then, both of the premises of the argument are true. And so the argument, in that event, would be sound. Nonetheless, the conclusion of this argument is not one that you ought to believe on the basis of these premises. Now look, you could have all sorts of good reasons for believing this conclusion, for believing that the stranger told the truth. For instance, maybe a friend of yours could vouch for the strangers reliability. Maybe the stranger has an excellent track record of telling the truth, and people could tell you about this track record, alright? There could be all sorts of reasons to believe that the stranger told the truth. But the point I'm making right now is that these two premises can't be a good reason to believe that the stranger told the truth, if your reason for believing the second premise is just that the stranger said that the street was three blocks north of here. Now why is that? Why can't these two premises be a good reason for you to believe that the stranger told the truth? In the situation in which your reason for believing the second premise is just the truth of the first premise. Here's why. Suppose the stranger tells you that the street is three blocks north of there. Well, why should you believe that the street is really three blocks north of there? Well, you should believe it, just in case you have a good reason to believe already that the stranger told the truth. In other words, if you don't already have a good reason to believe that the stranger told the truth, then you're not going to have a reason to believe the second premise of this argument on the basis of the fact that the stranger said that the street was three blocks north of there. Right? The stranger might have said it, but so what? If you don't have any reason to believe that the stranger told the truth. So, if you have a good reason to believe the second premise of this argument, that the street really is three blocks north of there, and your good reason has to do with the fact that the stranger said that the street was three blocks north of there, then that shows that you already have some reason to believe that the stranger told the truth. So, if you go and draw the conclussion, the stranger told the truth, that conclusion, is something that you must of already had a reason to believe. So this argument can't give you anymore reason to believe it than you already had. So that's why this argument can't give you a reason to believe its conclusion even in the case, where the argument is sound. It might be sound but it's still ineffective. And this particular kind of ineffectiveness is one example of what I'll call begging the question. The argument doesn't make any progress because in order to draw the conclusion You already have to be justified in believing the conclusion. In short, you don't learn anything from the argument, you can only draw the conclusion if you had a good reason for believing the conclusion already. Now as I said, that example of begging the question is so obvious, I doubt any of you would be guilty of it or would fall for it. But let's consider an example of begging the question that's close to something I actually heard on American television just a couple of months ago. A friend of American Presidential candidate Mitt Romney said in an interview that Mitt Romney was going to win the American presidential election. And his reasoning was that since Mitt Romney never fails in any of his projects, and since one of his biggest projects ever was to win the American presidential election, Romney was going to win the American presidential election. Now consider that argument, that argument actully was offered by some prominent person on American television. Premise one. [SOUND] Mitt Romney [SOUND] never fails [SOUND] in his projects. [SOUND] Premise 2, [SOUND] Romney's running for President. Conclusion, [SOUND] Romney will win [SOUND] the presidency. Now, once again, notice this argument is valid. If both of the premises are true, then the conclusion has to be true. Right, if it is indeed one of Romney's projects to win the presidency, and if indeed he never fails in his projects, then he will win the presidency. So the argument is valid. But, is it guilty of a fallacy of acuity? Well, in this particular case, yes. It begs the question and the reason it begs the question is because whatever reason you have for believing the first premise of the argument, Romney never fails in his projects. Whatever reason you have for believing that must include some reason you have for believing the conclusion that Romney will win the Presidency. Unless you already have a reason for believing that Romney will win the Presidency, you can't have a good reason for believing the first premise of the argument, that Romney never fails in his projects. So, even though this argument is valid if there's no possible way for the premeses to be true and the conclusion is false, nonetheless, the argument does beg the question and so is guilty of a fallacy of acuity. We've considered a couple examples of begging the question, but consider yet one more. Suppose I tell you That God laid down all of his divine commandments in this pamphlet right here. And you ask me why I believe that. And I say, well, because the pamphlet. Says that God laid down all of his divine commandments in this pamphlet right here. And of course, God would not have laid down his divine commandments in a pamphlet that wasn't wholly true. So, this pamphlet right here must be wholly true and so must be true, that God laid down all of his divine commandments in this pamphlet right here. Now that's an example of begging the question, that is simultaneously an appeal to authority. That particular argument suffers from both of the two fallacies that we've described in this lecture and the last. It is an unjustified appeal to authority, and it begs the question, and I want you to consider in the exercises that follow which arguments suffer from that same combination of faults.